BLOGIN BETS 24/10/20 – £100 Challenge (Stage 5)

STAGE 5

MILLWALL & DONCASTER EACH TO SCORE 1+ GOALS 8/13

  • STAKE: £55.69
  • RETURNS: £89.96

OVERVIEW: I’ve had a few messages about when the £100 challenge would continue, it’s been a while since we completed stage 4. As we are now so close to the target I’ve been agonising over the right bet to take us forward but I think I’ve finally found that bet.

This bet won’t take us to exactly £100 but will leave us pretty darn close so one more stage will be required to get to the magic target. However £89.96 is nothing to be sniffed at considering we started with a measly £10. Pulling out that point is perfectly fine if people so wish.

So, Stage 5. All we require is for Millwall and Doncaster to score a goal each in their respective matches this afternoon. Millwall, who is sit in the Championship playoff spots, are home to relegation candidates Barnsley and have amassed 10 goals in their last 6 league matches. Doncaster entertain Crewe who sit just below mid table in league 1. Tellingly, Doncaster have also managed 10 goals in their last 6 league matches. I expect both teams to win never mind get 1 goal each.

Remember, that’s all we need, a goal from each side. What a chance to complete this stage and be within touching distance of £100 mark. GOALS GOALS GOALS.

BLOGIN BETS 24/10/20

This week’s accumulator is £10 @11/1

MAN CITY 4/11 (Away v West Ham. KO 12:30

CAMBRIDGE UNITED 1/1 (Home v Bolton. KO 15:00)

MARSEILLE 8/5 (Away v Lorient. KO 16:00)

INTER 3/10 (Away v Genoa. KO 17:00)

LIVERPOOL 2/9 (Home v Sheff United. KO 20:00)

CONFIDENCE: 7/10

OVERVIEW: Before we get into the nitty gritty of breaking down this week’s accumulator, I actually can’t believe how high the odds for this line is. 11/1 is a superb price and I don’t see any reason why this one wouldn’t have a decent chance.

As usual, we have the same carry on, £10 on 5 teams all to win spread right across Saturday, with no two fixtures having the same kick off time. The key fixture for me is meat of the sandwich, the middle game, Marseille away at Lorient. That’s the banana skin here but again, and i will go into more depth later, I see no reason to suggest they can’t pick up the 3 points and the green tick we need.

Obviously another thing to note is there’s an early kick off on the line as well which is usually a no go, but I think it’s a strong enough favourite not to be a worry. So here we go.

PICKS: Man City have actually made an indifferent start to the season by their imperious standards but an early marker away at West Ham is exactly what they need. Talisman Sergio Aguero is now back fit and could be the key in putting together a run of form. AWAY WIN.

Cambridge United are flying in League 2. 4 wins in a row and top of the table, they host a Bolton side who haven’t won in 5 and sit 5 from the bottom of England’s professional pyramid. HOME WIN.

As mentioned earlier, this is the big game of the line in my opinion. A quick glance on paper suggests both Marseille and opponents Lorient aren’t in great form, however on closer inspection, Marseille haven’t been losing games with draws being the order of the day as well as playing some of the top sides along the way. They haven’t lost in 6 league matches and were very impressive against Bordeaux last time out picking up a nice 3-1. What’s more, Les Olympiens have only lost twice in 13 in this fixture so the omens are good. AWAY WIN.

Inter will be looking for a routine win at Genoa. If they are to have serious title aspirations, this is the type of bread and butter fixture they need to be winning. Conte’s side have good reason to be confident, they have won the last 4 matches against their hosts all to nil amassing an average of 4 goals. Genoa haven’t scored a goal since the opening day and the firepower of Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez should be too much for them at the other end. AWAY WIN.

Liverpool actually haven’t won for 3 Premier League games. They have the perfect chance at home to Sheff United who sit second bottom of table and are yet to win in 5 matches played – losing 4. I have no doubts that this match will WRAP UP THE ACCA should we make it this far.

BLOGIN FANTASY FOOTBALL (Gameweek 6)

OVERVIEW: Another cracking week of fantasy football. 71 points added to the total and maintaining 2nd place in the table – only 4 points off the summit.

Kane and Son, as expected, were the bags men. 13 points for Son and 32 for captain Kane as the skipper selection finally hit the target, yielding a lucrative return. Elsewhere, Maguire bagged at Newcastle which was a bonus. I would have taken him out last week had I not needed more pressing changes in other areas.

Looking ahead to game week 6, first thing to point out is the massive silent treatment in motion. We have a Friday night fixture to kick off the round, do my fellow managers know this crucial bit of information? Do they know any changes/transfers must be in place 24 hours early? I hope not, my tactics are set after a positive week of training and any marginal gain is welcome.

Fixture wise, Liverpool at home to Sheffield United has got to be a points fancy along with Spurs away at Burnley. Captain pick could be vital again as we look to climb to the up to top spot.

TEAM SELECTION: For the first time in a while we are starting a game week with no minus points. I’ve only made one transfer but it’s a massive one. Calvert-Lewin, the Premier League’s top scorer, comes in for Rhian Brewster. I didn’t realise I had the funds available to do this so it’s been a big mistake on my part not making this change week’s earlier. It improves my overall squad and I can now make at least one substitute without having to rely on a transfer. Not only that, we are entering wildcard time territory so should it not work out as planned we can revert and overhaul the whole team in the coming weeks. I mentioned last week that it was extremely rare to be 100% happy with your team, well this week I’m content and quite optimistic. That usually means a nightmare of a round incoming.

Ive gone with an adventurous 3 pronged attack, Calvert-Lewin comes in along side Wilson and Kane. My only quandary was who the Everton hitman was replacing. It was going to be Klich of Leeds but it turns out Willian is a slight injury doubt for Arsenal so it’s he who makes way. HOWEVER, big HOWEVER – BENCH BOOST PLAYED, let’s hope Willian is passed fit and we can score all round. It’s actually the first time this season I’ve changed my formation and it feels good to have that extra forward in the side.

Mané is this week’s skipper, with Kane the vice and its 6 weeks in a row for triple toon players despite underwhelming Bruce Ball on Tyneside.

WORK THE CHANNELS LADS.

BLOGIN BETS 10/10/20 (Football League Double Chance Dafty)

This week’s accumulator is £10 @5/1

IPSWICH & DRAW 8/15 (Away v Blackpool. KO 15:00)

WIGAN & DRAW 8/13 (Away v Crewe. KO 15:00)

MORECAMBE & DRAW 4/6 (Away v Oldham. KO 15:00)

NEWPORT COUNTY & DRAW 4/11 (Away v Cambridge United)

CONFIDENCE: 6/10

OVERVIEW: It’s the DREADED international break which is a right nuisance. This means the week’s accumulator is a bit different but actually much of the same. Different in the fact it’s 4 random selections not based on research or knowledge but simply, league position and gut feeling. The same as in the format. £10, 4 teams looking for the match result. What this line lacks in knowledge, it makes up for in the fact that each selection has a double chance. What’s more is that all the matches are Saturday 3 o clock kick offs, a rare event in my usual accumulator picks.

I’m not going to go through each team like usual and give my reasons for the selections because all the picks were decided on a quick glance at the respective League 1 and 2 tables and pure gut feeling. What I will say is we have two big clubs on the line in Wigan and Sir Bobby Robson’s team Ipswich. We also have Newport county who I was pretty impressed with when they faced Newcastle in the league cup and, at present, they sit top of League 2. Selecting Morecambe was simply a case of 2nd top v 3rd bottom and as they say the league table does not lie.

Remember as these selections are double chance with a draw in each game good also enough to LAND THE ACCA so, weirdly, I’m quietly confident.

LOADS OF TACKLE LADS

BLOGIN BETS 8/10/20 – £100 Challenge (Stage 4)

STAGE 4

ENGLAND v WALES OVER 2.5 GOALS 13/20

  • STAKE: £33.75
  • RETURNS: £55.69

OVERVIEW: Barcelona and Seville did not disappoint in stage 3 and we role on to 4 tonight, albeit a few days late. I was hoping to have the £100 challenge wrapped up by now but the international break put a dampener on the fixture list and enforced a couple of days break.

Looking ahead to tonight’s stage 4 match, I think we’ve got another corker on our hands and one that should take us to step 5. England host Wales in a friendly and all we require is 3 goals in the game to progress. The shackles should be off the players but the game will still contain that competitive edge given the rivalry between the two sides. Also, given the form or messers Kane, Sterling and potential debutant Dominic Calvert-Lewin, what’s to say this stage won’t be complete by half time.

Despite drawing 0-0 last time out, England have managed 18 goals in their last 5 international matches, an average well over the required amount tonight, not forgetting the potential of the Welsh finding the net which would be just as welcome.

GO FOR GOAL.

BLOGIN BETS 4/10/20 – £100 Challenge (Stage 2)

STAGE 2

ARSENAL TO WIN 1/2 (Home v Sheffield United KO 14:00)

  • STAKE: £15
  • RETURNS: £22.50

OVERVIEW: As expected we cruised through the first stage, Ipswich managing their goal in the 7th minute, Everton in the 16th. It doesn’t get more resounding than that so we are looking for more of the same today please.

On to stage 2 and despite this being the same odds this selection looks a bit more tricky than the first. That’s not to say I’m not majorly confident because I am. Arsenal have started with 2 wins from 3 games and their only defeat was to last season’s runaway champions Liverpool. Their opponents Sheffield United have lost all their Premier League matches so far and are also winless in their last 7 league away trips. I think the run will continue today and take us to stage 3. GUNNERS!

BLOGIN FANTASY FOOTBALL (Gameweek 4)

OVERVIEW: It’s gameweek 4 and this is where the season really begins. We’ve had a look at the early point scorers, who’s in form, whos not, who’s looking likely to be in contention for titles, European spots and relegation places. The league is starting to take it’s shape.

The average point score for game week 3 was 43. I scored 44. Would I have taken that before hand? Absolutely. I said the fixtures were a nightmare and that I would snap the hand off anyone that offered an unscathed week. What’s more pleasing is that I managed that score with 10 men, Saint-Maximin not fit and none of my bench players played.

This brings me on to an important point, do you use your budget on a wide range of players so that you have a stronger bench and squad? Or do you blast it on the best players, have a strong XI and risk a player not playing for whatever reason? Unintentionally, my team is looking that way, meaning if I need to make a change it has to be a transfer rather than a substitution. This usually results in going down the -4 and beyond route. It’s all well and good if your best starting eleven play every week but as has happened in game week 3, I ended up playing with 10 men. Did it matter? Turns out not but in other weeks it’s a weak point that could be costly. Going forward it’s something I will be considering when the time comes to play my wildcard. Not just yet.

THIS WEEK’S PICKS: One forced transfer this week. Aubameyang replaces Mané who has tested positive for COVID-19. The original plan was to go unchanged and create an extra transfer for game week 5 but of course availability is a manager’s biggest headache and you just have to deal with these situations head on. Here’s hoping the late announcement of Mané’s absence has gone unnoticed by my fellow gaffers. This week’s silent treatment.

I’m again banking on the fitness of Allan Saint-Maximin at home to Burnley. He is still part of the 3 toon player trio in the side despite their patchy form. Thinking about it, I may be closer to the wildcard than I had anticipated, I’ve snookered myself a bit with weak subs and 3 dodgy magpies.

Aubamaueng will be captain at home to Sheffield United, while Kane will be vice away to another United located in Manchester. Let’s hope we get the luck of the captain’s pick draw this week as this has been a costly swing either way recently.

KEEP IT TIGHT EARLY DOORS LADS.

GAMEWEEK 4 starting XI

BLOGIN FANTASY FOOTBALL (Gameweek 3)

OVERVIEW: 64 points and up to 2nd in the office league is a decent return from Gameweek 2 but doesn’t really tell the whole story.

It was another case of what could have been had my captain selection been correct. Last week I’d called for Mané and Kane to come to the party and produce the goods, well they arrived with a fully loaded credit card for a free bar and naturally, I’d captained neither. 21 points for Kane, 16 points for Mané. Sod’s law.

Having said all that, I can’t grumble too much. To get 64 points after 2 of my players scored zero and another 2 only scoring 1 a piece it is pretty pleasing. The REAL disappointment was the poor scoring of my Newcastle players but we’ll try and deal with that issue later.

Looking ahead to game week 3, the fixtures look a total nightmare and it’s a week I’m not looking forward to. Not only are they tough fixtures but the timings of the matches aren’t great either. Not that this matters too much but psychologically you like to get your points on the board early in the weekend rather than playing pressurised catch up late Sunday going into Monday. Damage limitation, digging deep and asking my players to go that extra yard will be the message this week. If we can get through it par for the course I’ll be over the moon with better weekends ahead.

PICKS: The first thing to note is we only have one player playing in Saturday’s round of fixtures so a super Sunday or mad Monday is required. like I touched on before psychologically it’s not great when you don’t have many players playing in the early games of the round and your competitors can steal a march. A clean sheet for Maguire wouldn’t go a miss but going off his performance last week, i’m not expecting much. In fact he would have been out had I not needed more important changes else where.

There are two transfers again this week and with it another -4. Out comes Hernandez of Leeds and in comes his team mate Klich. This is simply because the Spaniard is an injury doubt so it’s pretty enforced. Klich has made a flying start to the season so I’m relatively happy with this one anyway.

The second change is De Bruyne for Aubameyang. This is a big change but pretty necessary because of the fixtures, Arsenal away to Liverpool is as tough as it gets for Auba whilst City at home to Leicester should be a bit more forgiving for KDB. Ideally the 2 players will be in same side in the coming weeks.

Kane, at home to Newcastle, will be captain whilst the afore mentioned De Bruyne will be Vice. Speaking of Newcastle, my 3 toon lads all retain their places but I must say not by choice, it was simply the fact I had to prioritise changes elsewhere. They were all shambolic last week so I’m looking for a big reaction from them at Spurs and whilst Saint-Maximin has a slight injury, he is expected to play. SEE THIS ONE THROUGH LADS.

Gameweek 3 team selection

BLOGIN BETS 19/9/20

This week’s acca selection is £10 @9/1.

ARSENAL 4/9 (Home v West Ham. Saturday KO 20:00)

NEWCASTLE 13/8 (Home v Brighton. Sunday KO 14:00)

LEICESTER 4/7 (Home v Burnley. Sunday KO 19:00)

REAL MADRID 4/6 (Away v Real Sociedad. Sunday KO 20:00)

CONFIDENCE: 7/10

OVERVIEW: Another straight forward weekend for the accumulator. 4 teams, all to win with the matches spread over Saturday and Sunday. The bonus this week being that this is the refunded free £10 bet from last week’s line. The result of only one selection letting down the lads.

In terms of the picks, there’s a couple of question marks and teams I wouldn’t have usually selected but looking at the broader fixture list it was a very tough game week overall and not a great deal stood out. Also not forgetting we are so early in the season with teams still finding their feet, match sharpness etc. These teams were as good as was available in my opinion.

Having said all that, at 9/1, this line is cracking value and I’m quietly confident.

PICKS: Arsenal flew out the traps last week pretty emphatically. They’ll be looking to build on that start at home to a poor West Ham side. The away team were comfortably beaten at home against Newcastle last weekend and offered very little to suggest they’ll trouble the gunners this time round. Easy home win.

Newcastle will looking to make it 3 wins in a week at home to Brighton. The new signings at St.James’ park have all made an immediate and positive impact which should see the magpies have a relatively comfortable season. The seagulls on the other hand lost their opener albeit against title hopefuls Chelsea. This is a slightly risky selection but at 13/8 boosts the line price significantly. Allan Saint-Maximin the one to watch here. Home win.

Leicester have made another positive start to the season. I fancy them strongly at home to Burnley, who get their campaign under way at the King Power. That extra weeks match fitness could be pivotal for the foxes and should yield the win we need. Home win.

Spanish champions Real Madrid get their league season underway at Real Sociedad. Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last 5 away La Liga matches and will be looking to extend that run. Karim Benzema was in red hot form last term and I fancy him to get the goals the WRAP UP THE ACCA.

BLOGIN FANTASY FOOTBALL (Gameweek 2)

OVERVIEW: The age old dilemma of the captain selection is usually crucial and in gameweek 1 it turned out to be the difference between an excellent point scoring week and just a decent one. There were two factors that cost me a big total actually. The first being the intial choice between picking Sadio Mané and Mo Salah, the latter bagging a hattrick and with it over forty points when given the armband. Of course I went for Mané on the grounds he provides a more all round scoring chance and captained him….. A lowly 4 points. About as bad an outcome as you can get for your captain short of him not playing.

Anyway, out with the negative and in with the positive. Aubameyang, Willian and Wilson made excellent starts. Fernandez, as predicted, claimed his clean sheet and, other than the Mané captain debacle, it was a pretty productive week all round with 53 points, about par for the coarse.

As always there will be a little bit of tinkering going into gameweek 2. I was surprised that Chelsea club captain Azpilicueta didn’t start. Is that a changing of the guard at the London club? It looks like the youngster Reece James may have secured that right back birth for the blues. In fantasy football, you don’t have the time to find out, it’s cut throat, ANY DOUBT, GET HIM OUT.

PICKS: Two transfers this week and the first -4 of the season. Out comes Azpilicueta for reasons stated earlier and in comes Harry Maguire. With Manchester United at home to Crystal Palace it’s a clean sheet chance and the big headed defender is always a threat at the other end from set plays. The other change is Leicester’s new signing Castagne comes in for Serge Auriér. It was a school boy error on my part last week picking the Frenchman but forgetting Spurs had signed Matt Doherty from Wolves over the summer. I’d like to think it’s the sign of a good manager when he can admit his mistakes and rectify them.

Aubameyang is this week’s captain as Arsenal take on a piss poor West Ham team at the Emirates. I’ll be looking for usual big hitters Mané and Kane to offer more this time around and of course, there’s the toon players. All 3 retain their place as the magpies take on Brighton. YEEEEE-HAAAAAA.

Gameweek 2 Team Selection